Showing posts with label forecast. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forecast. Show all posts

Saturday, February 18, 2023

future car

 

Thursday, February 13, 2020

on the future


"I don't think 2 seconds ahead."
- Norm Macdonald

Thursday, November 4, 2010

maxim


“In the long run, we're all dead.”
- John Maynard Keynes

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

outlook


"The future does not come with the sound of a drum."
- Paul Theroux [born 1941] quoting an African proverb on the futility of forecasting.

Monday, August 24, 2009

contempt for forecasting


Michelangelo Merisi da Caravaggio [1571-1610], The Fortune-Teller, c.1598-1599.

"We have always been suckers for those who tell us about the future. In this picture the fortune-teller is stealing the victim's ring."
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan, p.164

An earlier reference to Caravaggio here.

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

>90%

Nate Silver forecasts a greater than 90% probability that Barack Obama will be the next President of the United States.